Panic stations, or a storm in a Darjeeling teacup?

Market slow to react to chickpea tariff increase by India


Grain
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Market slow to react to chickpea tariff increase by India

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DESPITE the Government of India’s decision to lift tariffs on imported chickpeas to 44 per cent, there has been little to no movement in cash chickpea prices. 

While the Victorian Farmers Federation (VFF) described grain farmers as “reeling from another blow,” to the trade relationship with India, it seems the initial effect has been buffered by alternative markets. 

Sitting in a historical decile nine cash price of about $600 a tonne, the indicative desi chickpea cash price from major traders has remained unchanged since the mid-week announcement.

However, some smaller exporters have moved to price on application.  

Brisbane chickpea decile pricing indicator 
Source: www.grdc.com.au/grownotes and Profarmer Australia

Brisbane chickpea decile pricing indicator Source: www.grdc.com.au/grownotes and Profarmer Australia

India is a key market for Australia, taking about 80 per cent of current exports of combined desi and kabuli chickpeas. 

Initially affected by the 30 pc hike in December, there is a general expectation another market correction will need to take place.

Predictions on the severity and timing of the correction are mixed, as the market tries to guess both the effect on the continued demand for chickpeas and the potential size of the upcoming 2018 crop. 

Aus Grain Distributors, chief executive officer, Don Iddamalgoda  expected to see a collapse of the Australian chickpea market once alternative markets were filled. 

Aus Grain Distributors, chief executive officer, Don Iddamalgoda  said he was expecting to see a collapse of the Australian chickpea market once alternative markets were filled

Aus Grain Distributors, chief executive officer, Don Iddamalgoda said he was expecting to see a collapse of the Australian chickpea market once alternative markets were filled

“Definitely, it is a very big impact on our growers,” he said.

“Currently, Bangladesh and Pakistan are buying the product from us.

“Most of the growers are either selling chickpeas to those markets or holding the stocks to sell later. 

“Once the Bangladesh and Pakistan cover their requirements where are we going to sell our products?”

VFF grains president, Ross Johns, said from a long-term perspective the tariff increase reduced grower confidence to plant chickpeas. 

“This increase flies in the face of previous discussions with the Australian government, in which officials were assured that India would provide notice prior to imposing or increasing any further tariffs,” he said. 

“Tariff barriers discourage Australian growers from planting chickpeas and other grains aimed at the Indian market and motivate them to consider alternative crops.

“Fluctuating trade barriers create an unpredictable trade environment, which significantly impact Australian growers’ planting decisions.”

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